Stonebridge Capital Advisors

September 2025 – Monthly Market Commentary

September 2025 – Monthly Market Commentary

This month defied the historical “September Effect.” Markets were buoyed by better-than-expected economic resilience, a more dovish Fed, and ongoing tech optimism — all of which outweighed seasonal weakness.

Discussing the market’s reactions to economic data, AI and tech leadership, and improved global risk sentiment, our Directors of Equity and Fixed income emphasize our positioning on staying focused on long-term fundamentals with careful selection and risk management.

Key Takeaways:

  • Market Concentration & Leadership Rotation: Expectation for broader participation across the S&P 500, beyond the mega-cap names.
  • From Buzzword to Business Reality: AI is in a new phase of growth.
  • Munis Making Headlines: Delivering standout returns, outperformed both Treasuries and corporate bonds.
  • Valuation Caution: Yields compressed and risks premiums low.
Read Monthly Market Commentary

Stonebridge Economic Outlook – September 30, 2025

The U.S. economy in 2025 has been surprisingly resilient on the surface but is increasingly vulnerable beneath.

Providing his new forecast, our Chief Economist, Daniel E. Laufenberg, Ph.D., details what lies ahead for monetary and fiscal policy for the remainder of the year, along with an early look into 2026. Focusing on the major themes, trends, and policy implications, here are the key takeaways:

  • Growth: Bumpy But Resilient
  • Labor Market: Cracks Emerging
  • Monetary Policy: Pivot Under Pressure
  • Inflation: Persistent & Sticky
Read Economic Outlook – September 30, 2025

Stonebridge Market Update – September 10, 2025

Interest Rates & Investment Opportunities: Market Update

Positioning for a Changing Interest Rate Environment

Recent economic data points — including a softer-than-expected jobs report — have increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts, leading to a notable decline in short-term interest rates. At Stonebridge, we’re adjusting our portfolios to help you stay ahead:

  • Adding select longer-term bonds to lock in today’s income opportunities.
  • Avoiding overexposure to the longest maturities and lower-quality bonds.
  • Exploring equity-based income strategies where appropriate.
Read Market Update

 

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