Category: Economy

In this article, Chief Economist, Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D., reflects on the current condition of the U.S. labor market and how it has been impacted by the economy, consumer confidence, and other factors.

Key Questions Answered:

• Why is the labor market so strong? Why are consumers not more confident about it?
• What is more important, the unemployment rate or the change in payroll jobs?
• Even though inflation has moderated considerably in recent months, should the Fed be worried about higher wages triggering another surge in inflation?

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In this article, Chief Economist, Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D. addresses the economic forecast for 2023, predicting additional volatility.

The key headlines are:

• Challenge of slowing inflation to avoid a severe recession
• Anticipated actions of the Fed
• Monetary policy and its impact on the U.S. economy

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In this article, Chief Economist, Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D., reflects on the economic impact from interest rates and rising global tensions.

Key Questions Answered:

• Why is inflation considered bad for the economy?
• Why has inflation been so stubbornly high and what is the outlook over the next year?
• Having previously worked with the Fed, what is your insight as to how they may work to get inflation in check?
• Can the U.S. economy avoid a recession or are we already in one?

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In this article, Chief Economist, Dr. Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D., examines the anticipated actions of the Fed and highlights factors that will influence changes in the economy.

The key headlines are:

• Inflation and its impact on CPI and real GDP
• Role of productivity in improving today’s economy
• Asking the hard question: “Are we in a recession, or are we heading towards one?”

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In this article, Chief Economist, Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D. explains what he sees as critical factors in the current economy and forecasts what to expect next.

The key headlines are:

• The inflation gauntlet
• Timing the recession
• Monetary policy response

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During this event our Chief Economist Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D. discussed 2021 and provide his outlook for 2022. Chief Investment Officer John Schonberg, CFA also discussed how these economic factors impact investment management. Towards the end, we had a Q&A session where Dr. Laufenberg and John Schonberg, CFA answered questions from our audience.

Disclosure: The views expressed here reflect those of the speakers however completeness cannot be guaranteed. They may change as economic fundamentals and market conditions change. This commentary is provided as a general source of information only and is not intended to provide investment advice for individual investor circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please seek the advice of professionals regarding the evaluation of any specific information, opinion, advice or other content.

As widely anticipated, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised its federal funds rate target by 25 basis points at the March meeting, the first change in its target rate in two years and the first increase in over three years. In this article, Dan Laufenberg Ph.D. reviews the rate change and discusses the impact.

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In this article Chief Economist, Daniel Laufenberg, Ph.D. goes in-depth on what he sees as critical factors in the current economy and forecasts what to expect next.

The key headlines are:

• Financing the Invasion
• Inflation
• Business Inventories are Temporary
• Growth Expected to Slow
• Financial Market Implications

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